BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Montana St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 115 Conference: Big Sky Record: (15-3) Overall: (22-9) Overall Strength =   26.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    24.47  54  60    1 111 ( 20- 11) Grand Canyon           -1.84     -4.16                      
  2 11-13-2022 Away    W    39.72  70  57    1 148 ( 17- 15) Long Beach St          13.41     -0.41                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L     7.51  51  81    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                -18.80    -11.20                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    26.31 106  64   ZZ 154 (  0-  1) Warner Pacific         -0.00 *   42.00                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    W    29.80  81  71    1 258 ( 13- 20) North Dakota            3.49      6.51                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral L    14.81  66  77    1 119 ( 20- 12) UNC Greensboro        -11.50      0.50                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral L     5.14  53  70    1 169 ( 20- 11) Qunnipiac             -21.17      4.17                      
  8 11-27-2022 Neutral L    23.91  71  72    1 124 ( 18- 13) Middle Tennessee St    -2.40      1.40                      
  9 11-30-2022 Away    W    34.80  86  83    1  95 ( 20- 11) Southern Utah           8.49     -5.49                      
 10 12-08-2022 Home    W    34.60  82  65    1 199 ( 18- 13) St Thomas MN            8.29      8.71                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    38.00  82  54    1 307 (  9- 23) NE Omaha               11.69     16.31                      
 12 12-17-2022 Home    W    28.91 144  59   ZZ 334 (  0-  3) Northwest Indian        2.60 *   82.40                      
 13 12-20-2022 Away    L    22.56  64  85    1   7 ( 25-  6) Arizona                -3.75    -17.25                      
 14 12-29-2022 Home    W *  25.99  72  58    1 283 ( 10- 22) Idaho                  -0.33     14.33                      
 15 12-31-2022 Home    L *  18.69  67  70    1 126 ( 22-  9) E Washington           -7.63      4.63                      
 16 01-05-2023 Away    W *  43.26  77  56    1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado             16.95      4.05                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    W *  37.88  69  54    1 224 ( 10- 22) Northern Arizona       11.57      3.43                      
 18 01-12-2023 Home    W *  27.85  81  68    1 244 ( 11- 20) Idaho St                1.54     11.46                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    W *  32.66  67  52    1 198 ( 17- 14) Weber St                6.35      8.65                      
 20 01-16-2023 Away    L *  14.74  70  74    1 283 ( 10- 22) Idaho                 -11.58      7.58                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    W *  29.70  67  64    1 157 ( 16- 13) Montana                 3.39     -0.39                      
 22 01-26-2023 Away    W *  30.79  75  66    1 231 ( 12- 19) Portland St             4.48      4.52                      
 23 01-28-2023 Away    W *  30.10  72  65    1 220 ( 14- 17) CS Sacramento           3.79      3.21                      
 24 02-02-2023 Home    W *  17.13  69  68    1 224 ( 10- 22) Northern Arizona       -9.18     10.18                      
 25 02-04-2023 Home    W *  28.51  75  62    1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado              2.20     10.80                      
 26 02-09-2023 Away    L *  14.41  63  73    1 198 ( 17- 14) Weber St              -11.90      1.90                      
 27 02-11-2023 Away    W *  27.60  58  52    1 244 ( 11- 20) Idaho St                1.29      4.71                      
 28 02-18-2023 Home    W *  23.95  72  68    1 157 ( 16- 13) Montana                -2.36      6.36                      
 29 02-23-2023 Home    W *  20.35  60  56    1 220 ( 14- 17) CS Sacramento          -5.96      9.96                      
 30 02-25-2023 Home    W *  28.04  91  78    1 231 ( 12- 19) Portland St             1.73     11.27                      
 31 02-27-2023 Away    W *  33.44  79  74    1 126 ( 22-  9) E Washington            7.12     -2.12                      
 32 03/05/2023 Neutral   *                   1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado                        6.75            
      Averages              26.31  74.0 66.3

Best game:   43.26 = 21 point win over N Colorado
Worst game:   5.14 = 17 point loss to Quinnipiac
Team stdev:   9.06